Wednesday, January 9, 2013

The post-2014 Afghanistan: how many troops should leave behind?

A decision on the number of U.S. troops in Afghanistan after the combat mission of NATO in 2014 she intervene at the end of next week's visit of Afghan President Hamid Karzai in Washington? This is unlikely because U.S. officials remain divided on the personnel deployed at the end of the withdrawal.

The United States currently have  66 000 100 000 soldiers of the combat mission in Afghanistan and NATO want to keep bases and troops in the country after 2014. General John Allen, chief of military operations in Afghanistan, has proposed keeping 6,000, 10,000 or 20,000 men in the country after the NATO mission, according to military sources cited by the New York Times. These soldiers should train and support the Afghan army, and perhaps conduct operations "against terrorism.

A report by the Institute for the Study of War needs analysis and concludes that these numbers are expected to reach nearly 30,000 men. The authors have developed two scenarios, some common parameters are:
- Staffs and command structures: 920 h
- Command and control: from 1 900 to 2 150 h
- Support to the Afghan forces from 16 000 to 20 000 h (four security forces, support brigades)
- Operations: 4475 or 7650 (if a combat brigade is deployed in RC East.

Either à 23 295 27 545 if no troops remain deployed in RC East, or 26 470-30 720 If one BCT (brigade combat team) is deployed in the east.

to access this report. HERE

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